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{"id":53624,"date":"2023-11-22T07:21:55","date_gmt":"2023-11-22T07:21:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/?page_id=53624"},"modified":"2026-02-11T14:32:48","modified_gmt":"2026-02-11T14:32:48","slug":"china-economy","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/am.meltedhouse.digital\/zh-hans\/china-economy\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e"},"content":{"rendered":"\n        <style>\n            .m14-hero-698c9310116da.m14 {\n                 background-color: #002b5c; \/* $oe--blue *\/\n                 padding-top: 60px;\n                 padding-bottom: 0px; \n                 position: relative;\n                 margin-bottom: 90px;\n                 display: block;\n                 width: 100%;\n            }\n            \n            .m14-hero-698c9310116da .m14-inner {\n                max-width: 1440px;\n                margin: 0 auto;\n                display: flex;\n                flex-direction: column;\n                padding: 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       <div class=\"m14-inner\">\n                <div class=\"m14-content\">\n                    <div class=\"m14-breadcrumbs\"><span><span><a href=\"https:\/\/am.meltedhouse.digital\/zh-hans\/\">\u4e3b\u9875<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n                    <h1 class=\"m14-heading\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e<\/h1>\n                    <p class=\"m14-text large-font-size\">\u5728\u672c\u7cfb\u5217\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u4ecb\u7ecd\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u53ca\u5176\u5bf9 2024 \u5e74\u53ca\u4ee5\u540e\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u5206\u6790\u3002<\/p>\n                    \n                <\/div>\n                <div class=\"m14-media-wrapper\">\n                    <div class=\"m14-media\"><img width=\"500\" height=\"500\" src=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/China-flag.png\" class=\"m14-media-img\" alt=\"China Economy: Entering a New Phase for Growth\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/China-flag.png 500w, https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/China-flag-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/China-flag-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/China-flag-375x375.png 375w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n        \n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\">\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left is-style-border-blue\" id=\"h-\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e-\u5728\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u4e0b\u6ed1\u4e2d\u5bfb\u627e\u5468\u671f\u6027\u5e95\u7ebf\"><strong>\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff1a\u5728\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u4e0b\u6ed1\u4e2d\u5bfb\u627e\u5468\u671f\u6027\u5e95\u7ebf<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u51e0\u4e4e\u6240\u6709\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u89c2\u5bdf\u5bb6\u90fd\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u7684\u589e\u957f\u4e0b\u6ed1\u8d8b\u52bf\u4e2d\uff0c\u7406\u7531\u662f\u4eba\u53e3\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u3001\u8d44\u672c\u56de\u62a5\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u4ee5\u53ca\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u98ce\u9669\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u52a0\u5267\u4e2d\u56fd\u957f\u671f\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u6311\u6218\u3002 \u95ee\u9898\u662f\uff1a\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653e\u7f13\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u662f\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u7684\uff1f<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column has-lighter-blue-background-color has-background is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\"><article class=\"m21 break-out\" style=\"background-color: #ffffff; padding: 60px 0;\"><div style=\"max-width: 1272px; margin: 0 auto; padding: 0 20px;\">\n                <style>\n                    .m21-grid-698c931011d55 {\n                        display: grid;\n                        grid-template-columns: 1fr; \n                        gap: 30px;\n                        margin-top: 40px; \n                        margin-bottom: 40px;\n                    }\n                    @media (min-width: 600px) {\n                        .m21-grid-698c931011d55 { grid-template-columns: 1fr 1fr; }\n                    }\n                    @media (min-width: 1024px) {\n                        .m21-grid-698c931011d55 { grid-template-columns: 1fr 1fr 1fr 1fr; }\n                    }\n                <\/style>\n            <div class=\"m21-grid-698c931011d55\"><div class=\"clarity-card\" style=\"display: flex; flex-direction: column; height: 100%;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/china-key-themes-2024-a-slower-but-healthier-dragon-year\/\" style=\"display: block; margin-bottom: 15px; text-decoration: none;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/Feature-image-gallery-90-300x210.png\" alt=\"2024 \u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5173\u952e\u4e3b\u9898-\u9f99\u5e74\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u4f46\u66f4\u5065\u5eb7\" style=\"width: 100%; height: 200px; object-fit: cover; border-radius: 4px; display: block;\"><\/a><h3 style=\"margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 10px; font-size: 1.25rem; line-height: 1.4; font-weight: 700;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/china-key-themes-2024-a-slower-but-healthier-dragon-year\/\" style=\"text-decoration: none; color: inherit;\">2024 \u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5173\u952e\u4e3b\u9898-\u9f99\u5e74\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u4f46\u66f4\u5065\u5eb7<\/a><\/h3><div style=\"font-size: 0.95rem; margin-bottom: 15px; color: #333; line-height: 1.5; display: -webkit-box; -webkit-line-clamp: 2; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; overflow: hidden;\">\u8fdb\u5165 2024 \u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u73af\u5883\u76f8\u5bf9\u5bbd\u677e\uff0c\u4f46\u79c1\u8425\u90e8\u95e8\u7684\u60c5\u7eea\u53d7\u5230\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u60b2\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u7684\u5236\u7ea6\u3002 \u653f\u7b56\u52aa\u529b\u5c06\u51cf\u5c11\u5de6\u4fa7\u5c3e\u90e8\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u8fd9\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u9632\u6b62\u589e\u957f\u4e0b\u6ed1\u8d8b\u52bf\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u53bb\u3002 \u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u5b58\u5728\u4e0a\u884c\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u5373\u653f\u5e9c\u53ef\u80fd\u901a\u8fc7\u523a\u6fc0\u5b9e\u73b0 2024 \u5e74\u7684\u9ad8\u589e\u957f\u76ee\u6807\u3002<\/div><div style=\"margin-top: auto;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/china-key-themes-2024-a-slower-but-healthier-dragon-year\/\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-weight: 600; font-size: 0.9rem; color: #0099cc; display: inline-flex; align-items: center;\">Find Out More <span style=\"margin-left: 5px;\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/div><div class=\"clarity-card\" style=\"display: flex; flex-direction: column; height: 100%;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/why-we-lowered-our-china-medium-term-growth-forecasts\/\" style=\"display: block; margin-bottom: 15px; text-decoration: none;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/Feature-image-gallery-40-300x210.png\" alt=\"\u6211\u4eec\u4e3a\u4f55\u4e0b\u8c03\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e2d\u671f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u9884\u6d4b\" style=\"width: 100%; height: 200px; object-fit: cover; border-radius: 4px; display: block;\"><\/a><h3 style=\"margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 10px; font-size: 1.25rem; line-height: 1.4; font-weight: 700;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/why-we-lowered-our-china-medium-term-growth-forecasts\/\" style=\"text-decoration: none; color: inherit;\">\u6211\u4eec\u4e3a\u4f55\u4e0b\u8c03\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e2d\u671f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u9884\u6d4b<\/a><\/h3><div style=\"font-size: 0.95rem; margin-bottom: 15px; color: #333; line-height: 1.5; display: -webkit-box; -webkit-line-clamp: 2; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; overflow: hidden;\">\u591a\u5e74\u7684\u76d1\u7ba1\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3001\u957f\u671f\u7684\u96f6\u79d1\u7ef4\n\u653f\u7b56\u548c\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u8c03\u6574\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f9b\u5e94\u65b9\u6f5c\u529b\u7684\u7834\u574f\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u9884\u671f\n\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002 \u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e0b\u8c03\u4e86\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u672a\u6765\u6f5c\u5728 GDP \u589e\u957f\u7387\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002<\/div><div style=\"margin-top: auto;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/why-we-lowered-our-china-medium-term-growth-forecasts\/\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-weight: 600; font-size: 0.9rem; color: #0099cc; display: inline-flex; align-items: center;\">Find Out More <span style=\"margin-left: 5px;\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/div><div class=\"clarity-card\" style=\"display: flex; flex-direction: column; height: 100%;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/is-china-headed-for-a-japanese-style-balance-sheet-recession\/\" style=\"display: block; margin-bottom: 15px; text-decoration: none;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/Feature-image-gallery-2-1-300x210.png\" alt=\"\u4e2d\u56fd\u662f\u5426\u6b63\u5728\u8d70\u5411\u65e5\u672c\u5f0f\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u8870\u9000\uff1f\" style=\"width: 100%; height: 200px; object-fit: cover; border-radius: 4px; display: block;\"><\/a><h3 style=\"margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 10px; font-size: 1.25rem; line-height: 1.4; font-weight: 700;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/is-china-headed-for-a-japanese-style-balance-sheet-recession\/\" style=\"text-decoration: none; color: inherit;\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u662f\u5426\u6b63\u5728\u8d70\u5411\u65e5\u672c\u5f0f\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u8870\u9000\uff1f<\/a><\/h3><div style=\"font-size: 0.95rem; margin-bottom: 15px; color: #333; line-height: 1.5; display: -webkit-box; -webkit-line-clamp: 2; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; overflow: hidden;\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u5728\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u8c03\u6574\u4e2d\u8868\u73b0\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u8bb8\u591a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5c06\u5176\u4e0e\u65e5\u672c\u4e0a\u4e16\u7eaa 90 \u5e74\u4ee3\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u8870\u9000\u76f8\u63d0\u5e76\u8bba\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\u9053\u8def\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u4f46\u73b0\u5728\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u65e5\u672c\u6709\u51e0\u5904\u76f8\u4f3c\u4e4b\u5904\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u9884\u793a\u7740\u957f\u671f\u505c\u6ede\u7684\u76f8\u4f3c\u672a\u6765\u3002<\/div><div style=\"margin-top: auto;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/is-china-headed-for-a-japanese-style-balance-sheet-recession\/\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-weight: 600; font-size: 0.9rem; color: #0099cc; display: inline-flex; align-items: center;\">Find Out More <span style=\"margin-left: 5px;\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/article><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\">\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left is-style-border-blue\" id=\"h-\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u75b2\u8f6f\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u6ea2\u51fa\u6548\u5e94\"><strong>\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u75b2\u8f6f\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u6ea2\u51fa\u6548\u5e94<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u4e3e\u8db3\u8f7b\u91cd\u3002\u5b83\u5360\u4e16\u754c\u8d38\u6613\u548c\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u503c\u768410%\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u5360\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u768418%\u5de6\u53f3\uff08\u6309\u5e02\u573a\u6c47\u7387\u8ba1\u7b97\uff09\uff0c\u5360\u4e16\u754c\u77f3\u6cb9\u9700\u6c42\u7684 16%\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u5360\u4e16\u754c\u5e7f\u4e49\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002 \u6211\u4eec\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u6a21\u62df\u4e86\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u60c5\u666f\uff0c\u4ee5\u91cf\u5316\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d70\u5f31\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column has-lighter-blue-background-color has-background is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\"><article class=\"m21 break-out\" style=\"background-color: #ffffff; padding: 60px 0;\"><div style=\"max-width: 1272px; margin: 0 auto; padding: 0 20px;\">\n                <style>\n                    .m21-grid-698c9310150da {\n                        display: grid;\n                        grid-template-columns: 1fr; \n                        gap: 30px;\n                        margin-top: 40px; \n                        margin-bottom: 40px;\n                    }\n                    @media (min-width: 600px) {\n                        .m21-grid-698c9310150da { grid-template-columns: 1fr 1fr; }\n                    }\n                    @media (min-width: 1024px) {\n                        .m21-grid-698c9310150da { grid-template-columns: 1fr 1fr 1fr 1fr; }\n                    }\n                <\/style>\n            <div class=\"m21-grid-698c9310150da\"><div class=\"clarity-card\" style=\"display: flex; flex-direction: column; height: 100%;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/chinese-catch-up-prospects-recede-as-the-us-outperforms\/\" style=\"display: block; margin-bottom: 15px; text-decoration: none;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/Feature-image-gallery-93-300x210.png\" alt=\"\u7f8e\u56fd\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u8272\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u8ffd\u8d76\u524d\u666f\u6216\u5c06\u6697\u6de1\" style=\"width: 100%; height: 200px; object-fit: cover; border-radius: 4px; display: block;\"><\/a><h3 style=\"margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 10px; font-size: 1.25rem; line-height: 1.4; font-weight: 700;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/chinese-catch-up-prospects-recede-as-the-us-outperforms\/\" style=\"text-decoration: none; color: inherit;\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u8272\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u8ffd\u8d76\u524d\u666f\u6216\u5c06\u6697\u6de1<\/a><\/h3><div style=\"font-size: 0.95rem; margin-bottom: 15px; color: #333; line-height: 1.5; display: -webkit-box; -webkit-line-clamp: 2; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; overflow: hidden;\">\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u75ab\u60c5\u8fc7\u540e\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u8981\u597d\u4e00\u4e9b\uff0c\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u75ab\u60c5\u524d\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u800c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5219\u5728\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u4e0b\u6ed1\u7b49\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u95ee\u9898\u9762\u524d\u4e3e\u6b65\u7ef4\u8270\u3002 \u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u89c4\u6a21\u5728 2030 \u5e74\u4ee3\u4e2d\u671f\u4e4b\u524d\u90fd\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u8d76\u4e0a\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u751f\u6d3b\u6c34\u5e73\u4ecd\u5c06\u8fdc\u8fdc\u4f4e\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u3002<\/div><div style=\"margin-top: auto;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/chinese-catch-up-prospects-recede-as-the-us-outperforms\/\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-weight: 600; font-size: 0.9rem; color: #0099cc; display: inline-flex; align-items: center;\">Find Out More <span style=\"margin-left: 5px;\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/div><div class=\"clarity-card\" style=\"display: flex; flex-direction: column; height: 100%;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/global-scenarios-service-taiwan-tensions\/\" style=\"display: block; margin-bottom: 15px; text-decoration: none;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/RB-Feature-Image-Template-70-300x225.png\" alt=\"\u5168\u7403\u60c5\u666f\u670d\u52a1\uff1a \u53f0\u6e7e\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\" style=\"width: 100%; height: 200px; object-fit: cover; border-radius: 4px; display: block;\"><\/a><h3 style=\"margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 10px; font-size: 1.25rem; line-height: 1.4; font-weight: 700;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/global-scenarios-service-taiwan-tensions\/\" style=\"text-decoration: none; color: inherit;\">\u5168\u7403\u60c5\u666f\u670d\u52a1\uff1a \u53f0\u6e7e\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf<\/a><\/h3><div style=\"font-size: 0.95rem; margin-bottom: 15px; color: #333; line-height: 1.5; display: -webkit-box; -webkit-line-clamp: 2; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; overflow: hidden;\">\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u4ecd\u7136\u76f8\u5bf9\u4f4e\u8ff7\u3002 \u53d1\u8fbe\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u5c1a\u672a\u5b8c\u5168\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u8fc7\u53bb\u7d27\u7f29\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u5cf0\u503c\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u5c06\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5171\u8bc6\u3002<\/div><div style=\"margin-top: auto;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/global-scenarios-service-taiwan-tensions\/\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-weight: 600; font-size: 0.9rem; color: #0099cc; display: inline-flex; align-items: center;\">Find Out More <span style=\"margin-left: 5px;\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/div><div class=\"clarity-card\" style=\"display: flex; flex-direction: column; height: 100%;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/spillovers-from-a-weaker-china-likely-to-be-modest\/\" style=\"display: block; margin-bottom: 15px; text-decoration: none;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/Feature-image-gallery-39-300x210.png\" alt=\"\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d70\u5f31\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u6ea2\u51fa\u6548\u5e94\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u5927\" style=\"width: 100%; height: 200px; object-fit: cover; border-radius: 4px; display: block;\"><\/a><h3 style=\"margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 10px; font-size: 1.25rem; line-height: 1.4; font-weight: 700;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/spillovers-from-a-weaker-china-likely-to-be-modest\/\" style=\"text-decoration: none; color: inherit;\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d70\u5f31\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u6ea2\u51fa\u6548\u5e94\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u5927<\/a><\/h3><div style=\"font-size: 0.95rem; margin-bottom: 15px; color: #333; line-height: 1.5; display: -webkit-box; -webkit-line-clamp: 2; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; overflow: hidden;\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u75b2\u8f6f\u548c\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u884c\u4e1a\u65e5\u76ca\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u518d\u6b21\u5c06\u4eba\u4eec\u7684\u76ee\u5149\u805a\u7126\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6025\u5267\u653e\u7f13\u53ef\u80fd\u7ed9\u5168\u7403\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002 \u4e3a\u4e86\u89e3\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u548c\u5730\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5229\u7528\u725b\u6d25\u5168\u7403\u6a21\u578b\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u4e00\u6b21\u5168\u9762\u7684\u6a21\u62df\u6f14\u7ec3\u3002<\/div><div style=\"margin-top: auto;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/spillovers-from-a-weaker-china-likely-to-be-modest\/\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-weight: 600; font-size: 0.9rem; color: #0099cc; display: inline-flex; align-items: center;\">Find Out More <span style=\"margin-left: 5px;\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/article><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\">\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left is-style-border-blue\" id=\"h-\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e2d\u56fd\"><strong>\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e2d\u56fd\uff1f<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e3a\u5e94\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653e\u7f13\u548c\u65e5\u76ca\u52a0\u5267\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u4f01\u4e1a\u6b63\u5728\u63a8\u884c\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u52a0\u4e00\u201d\u6218\u7565\uff0c\u4ee5\u964d\u4f4e\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u98ce\u9669\u3002 \u6709\u4e9b\u4eba\u6b63\u5728\u79ef\u6781\u5bfb\u627e\u201c\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e2d\u56fd\u201d\u3002 \u6211\u4eec\u7814\u7a76\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u6700\u6709\u524d\u9014\u7684\u5019\u9009\u76ee\u7684\u5730\uff0c\u5e76\u5bf9\u5176\u6f5c\u529b\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u8bc4\u4f30\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column has-lighter-blue-background-color has-background is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\"><article class=\"m21 break-out\" style=\"background-color: #ffffff; padding: 60px 0;\"><div style=\"max-width: 1272px; margin: 0 auto; padding: 0 20px;\">\n                <style>\n                    .m21-grid-698c931017787 {\n                        display: grid;\n                        grid-template-columns: 1fr; \n                        gap: 30px;\n                        margin-top: 40px; \n                        margin-bottom: 40px;\n                    }\n                    @media (min-width: 600px) {\n                        .m21-grid-698c931017787 { grid-template-columns: 1fr 1fr; }\n                    }\n                    @media (min-width: 1024px) {\n                        .m21-grid-698c931017787 { grid-template-columns: 1fr 1fr 1fr 1fr; }\n                    }\n                <\/style>\n            <div class=\"m21-grid-698c931017787\"><div class=\"clarity-card\" style=\"display: flex; flex-direction: column; height: 100%;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/china-india-population-size-matters-but-its-not-all\/\" style=\"display: block; margin-bottom: 15px; text-decoration: none;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Feature-image-gallery-24-300x210.png\" alt=\"\u4e2d\u5370\uff1a\u4eba\u53e3\u6570\u91cf\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u662f\u5168\u90e8\" style=\"width: 100%; height: 200px; object-fit: cover; border-radius: 4px; display: block;\"><\/a><h3 style=\"margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 10px; font-size: 1.25rem; line-height: 1.4; font-weight: 700;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/china-india-population-size-matters-but-its-not-all\/\" style=\"text-decoration: none; color: inherit;\">\u4e2d\u5370\uff1a\u4eba\u53e3\u6570\u91cf\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u662f\u5168\u90e8<\/a><\/h3><div style=\"font-size: 0.95rem; margin-bottom: 15px; color: #333; line-height: 1.5; display: -webkit-box; -webkit-line-clamp: 2; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; overflow: hidden;\">\u5370\u5ea6\u4f3c\u4e4e\u662f\u6700\u50cf\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u53ea\u6709\u5b83\u80fd\u5728\u4ee5\u4e0b\u65b9\u9762\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u76f8\u5ab2\u7f8e\n\u4eba\u53e3\u6570\u91cf\u3002 \u4f46\u8fd9\u4e5f\u662f\u8bb8\u591a\u76f8\u4f3c\u4e4b\u5904\u7684\u7ec8\u70b9&#8211;\u5728\u5927\u591a\u6570\u5176\u4ed6\u4eba\u53e3\u4e2d\n\u4e24\u56fd\u7684\u7279\u70b9\u5927\u4e0d\u76f8\u540c\u3002<\/div><div style=\"margin-top: auto;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/china-india-population-size-matters-but-its-not-all\/\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-weight: 600; font-size: 0.9rem; color: #0099cc; display: inline-flex; align-items: center;\">Find Out More <span style=\"margin-left: 5px;\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/div><div class=\"clarity-card\" style=\"display: flex; flex-direction: column; height: 100%;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/the-miracle-growth-story-of-vietnam-has-further-to-unfold\/\" style=\"display: block; margin-bottom: 15px; text-decoration: none;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/Feature-image-gallery-44-300x210.png\" alt=\"\u6df1\u5ea6\u89e3\u6790\u8d8a\u5357\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u5947\u8ff9\" style=\"width: 100%; height: 200px; object-fit: cover; border-radius: 4px; display: block;\"><\/a><h3 style=\"margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 10px; font-size: 1.25rem; line-height: 1.4; font-weight: 700;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/the-miracle-growth-story-of-vietnam-has-further-to-unfold\/\" style=\"text-decoration: none; color: inherit;\">\u6df1\u5ea6\u89e3\u6790\u8d8a\u5357\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u5947\u8ff9<\/a><\/h3><div style=\"font-size: 0.95rem; margin-bottom: 15px; color: #333; line-height: 1.5; display: -webkit-box; -webkit-line-clamp: 2; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; overflow: hidden;\">\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u4e09\u5341\u5e74\u91cc\uff0c\u8d8a\u5357\u7684\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u5e74\u5747\u589e\u957f 7%\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u4e1c\u76df\u5730\u533a\u7684\u6240\u6709\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002 \u867d\u7136 2023 \u5e74\u548c 2024 \u5e74\u5c06\u662f\u8d8a\u5357\u5728\u79d1\u7ef4\u5fb7\u65f6\u671f\u4ee5\u5916\u589e\u957f\u6700\u5f31\u7684\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u79cd\u75db\u82e6\u662f\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u3002<\/div><div style=\"margin-top: auto;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/the-miracle-growth-story-of-vietnam-has-further-to-unfold\/\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-weight: 600; font-size: 0.9rem; color: #0099cc; display: inline-flex; align-items: center;\">Find Out More <span style=\"margin-left: 5px;\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/div><div class=\"clarity-card\" style=\"display: flex; flex-direction: column; height: 100%;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/nearshoring-chinas-loss-is-not-yet-mexicos-gain\/\" style=\"display: block; margin-bottom: 15px; text-decoration: none;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/Manufacturing-and-assembly-300x210.png\" alt=\"\u8fd1\u5cb8\u5916\u5305\u2014\u2014\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u635f\u5931\u5374\u975e\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u7684\u6536\u76ca\" style=\"width: 100%; height: 200px; object-fit: cover; border-radius: 4px; display: block;\"><\/a><h3 style=\"margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 10px; font-size: 1.25rem; line-height: 1.4; font-weight: 700;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/nearshoring-chinas-loss-is-not-yet-mexicos-gain\/\" style=\"text-decoration: none; color: inherit;\">\u8fd1\u5cb8\u5916\u5305\u2014\u2014\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u635f\u5931\u5374\u975e\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u7684\u6536\u76ca<\/a><\/h3><div style=\"font-size: 0.95rem; margin-bottom: 15px; color: #333; line-height: 1.5; display: -webkit-box; -webkit-line-clamp: 2; -webkit-box-orient: vertical; overflow: hidden;\">\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u662f\u6700\u6709\u6761\u4ef6\u4ece &#8220;\u8fd1\u5cb8\u5916\u5305 &#8220;\u4e2d\u83b7\u76ca\u7684\u65b0\u5174\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u5e76\u4e0d\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5b83\u5df2\u7ecf \u770b\u5230\u4e86\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u3002 \u81ea\u4e94\u5e74\u524d\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u5f00\u59cb\u8131\u94a9\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u548c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fdb\u53e3\u4e2d\u6240\u5360\u4efd\u989d\u7684\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u5feb\u4e8e\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u3002<\/div><div style=\"margin-top: auto;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/nearshoring-chinas-loss-is-not-yet-mexicos-gain\/\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-weight: 600; font-size: 0.9rem; color: #0099cc; display: inline-flex; align-items: center;\">Find Out More <span style=\"margin-left: 5px;\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/article><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/zh-hans\/resource-hub\/?query=post&amp;filter-post_tag=china\">\u5173\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u66f4\u591a\u5206\u6790 \u2192<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n        <article class=\"m17 break-out\">\n            <div class=\"m17__container container\" >\n                                    <div class=\"m17__content\">\n                                                    <h2 class=\"m17__heading heading heading--1 heading--has-border\">\n                                \u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec                            <\/h2>\n                        \n                                                    <div class=\"m17__text large-font-size\">\n                                \u5982\u679c\u60a8\u60f3\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e86\u89e3\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u670d\u52a1\uff0c\u8bf7\u586b\u5199\u8868\u683c\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u56e2\u961f\u6210\u5458\u5c06\u5c3d\u5feb\u4e0e\u60a8\u8054\u7cfb\u3002\r\n\r\n\u63d0\u4ea4\u6b64\u8868\u5373\u8868\u793a\u60a8\u540c\u610f\u725b\u6d25\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u5c31\u5176\u4ea7\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52a1\u4e0e\u60a8\u8054\u7cfb\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u7edd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u4e0e\u7b2c\u4e09\u65b9\u5171\u4eab\u60a8\u7684\u8be6\u7ec6\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u60a8\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u968f\u65f6\u53d6\u6d88\u8ba2\u9605\u3002                            <\/div>\n                                            <\/div>\n                \n                                    <div class=\"m17__pardot-form pardot-iframe\" id=\"post_53624_698c93101bf06\">\n                        <iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/info.oxfordeconomics.com\/l\/1022713\/2024-02-02\/w1sr\" width=\"100%\" height=\"500\" type=\"text\/html\" frameborder=\"0\" 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