{"id":85991,"date":"2024-12-24T08:43:00","date_gmt":"2024-12-24T08:43:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/city-key-themes-2025-cautious-optimism\/"},"modified":"2026-01-27T23:56:22","modified_gmt":"2026-01-27T23:56:22","slug":"city-key-themes-2025-cautious-optimism","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/am.meltedhouse.digital\/zh-hans\/resource\/city-key-themes-2025-cautious-optimism\/","title":{"rendered":"2025\u5e74\u57ce\u5e02\u5173\u952e\u4e3b\u9898\uff1a\u8c28\u614e\u4e50\u89c2"},"content":{"rendered":"<section class=\"gb-container gb-container-1f50ef15 break-out alignfull oe-section\">\n<div class=\"gb-container gb-container-005c9b42 oe-container oe-link-no-underline oe-breadcrumb\">\n<nav aria-label=\"Breadcrumb\"><ul class=\"uk-breadcrumb oe-breadcrumb\"><li><a href=\"https:\/\/am.meltedhouse.digital\/zh-hans\/\" alt=\"Home Page\">Home<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/am.meltedhouse.digital\/zh-hans\/resource-hub\/?_selection_type=research-briefing\" alt=\"Research Briefings\">Research Briefings<\/a><\/li><li><span aria-current=\"page\">2025\u5e74\u57ce\u5e02\u5173\u952e\u4e3b\u9898\uff1a\u8c28\u614e\u4e50\u89c2<\/span><\/li><\/ul><\/nav>\n\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n\n<section class=\"gb-container gb-container-d97b8760 break-out alignfull oe-section oe-hero-section-image-mask\">\n<div class=\"gb-container gb-container-b428f362 oe-position-cover\"><\/div>\n\n<div class=\"gb-container gb-container-26cf8593 oe-container oe-light\">\n<div class=\"gb-container gb-container-1bb16003 oe-width-1-1\">\n<div class=\"gb-container gb-container-12ba6ca9\">\n\n<div class=\"gb-headline gb-headline-16be822d gb-headline-text oe-text-uppercase oe-badge uk-badge\">Research Briefing<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"uk-text-small\"><div class=\"km-date-published\">24 12 \u6708 2024<\/div><\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"gb-container gb-container-17faf3a8\">\n\n\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"gb-container gb-container-89f63d4d oe-container-small oe-container-align-left\">\n<div class=\"gb-container gb-container-75242752 oe-container-small\">\n\n<h1 class=\"gb-headline gb-headline-61d32c29 gb-headline-text oe-h1 oe-heading-title oe-margin-remove-bottom\">2025\u5e74\u57ce\u5e02\u5173\u952e\u4e3b\u9898\uff1a \u8c28\u614e\u4e50\u89c2<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"oe-margin-remove-bottom has-medium-font-size\">2024 \u5e74\u5bf9\u8bb8\u591a\u57ce\u5e02\u6765\u8bf4\u90fd\u662f\u5145\u6ee1\u6311\u6218\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\uff0c\u800c\u6211\u4eec\u5bf9 2025 \u5e74\u7684\u524d\u666f\u6301\u8c28\u614e\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u6001\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"gb-container gb-container-73e0881b oe-link-no-underline\">\n<div class=\"gb-container gb-container-c6247a7e oe-width-auto\">\n\n<a class=\"gb-button gb-button-5a71362a gb-button-text oe-button oe-button-primary\" href=\"#km-sign-up\">\u4e0b\u8f7d\u62a5\u544a<\/a>\n\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n\n<div class=\"gb-container gb-container-c47675bd break-out alignfull oe-section oe-break-out\" id=\"oe-main\">\n<div class=\"gb-container gb-container-e98c8905 oe-container\">\n<div class=\"gb-grid-wrapper gb-grid-wrapper-cf47fb03\">\n<div class=\"gb-grid-column gb-grid-column-2a913059\"><div class=\"gb-container gb-container-2a913059 oe-sticky-column\">\n<div class=\"gb-container gb-container-0a8bfba8\">\n\n<p>\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u5728 2024 \u5e74\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u589e\u957f\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u57ce\u5e02\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u4e86\u97e7\u6027\uff0c\u800c\u53e6\u4e00\u4e9b\u57ce\u5e02\u5219\u843d\u5728\u540e\u9762\u30022025 \u5e74\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5e73\u5747\u9884\u8ba1\u5927\u591a\u6570\u5730\u533a\uff08\u4e2d\u56fd\u9664\u5916\uff09\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u5c06\u52a0\u5feb\u6216\u4fdd\u6301 GDP \u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u683c\u5c40\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u57ce\u5e02\u5c06\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u5e94\u5bf9\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u6311\u6218\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u5efa\u8bae\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8fc4\u4eca\u4e3a\u6b62\uff0c\u4ed6\u5df2\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u51e0\u9879\u62a2\u5360\u5934\u6761\u7684\u4e3b\u5f20\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5173\u7a0e\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4ecd\u6709\u5f85\u89c2\u5bdf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e86\u89e3\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8feb\u5728\u7709\u776b\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u5bf9\u4e8e\u57ce\u5e02\u5728\u672a\u6765\u7684\u574e\u5777\u9053\u8def\u4e0a\u987a\u5229\u524d\u884c\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u5728\u672c\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e86\u5f71\u54cd 2025 \u5e74\u57ce\u5e02\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u589e\u957f\u52a8\u529b\u548c\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u5e76\u56de\u7b54\u4e86\u4ee5\u4e0b\u95ee\u9898\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e3b\u8981\u57ce\u5e02\u80fd\u5426\u4fdd\u6301\u5f3a\u52b2\u589e\u957f\uff1f<\/strong>2024 \u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd 50 \u5927\u57ce\u5e02\u7684 GDP \u589e\u957f\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u4f46\u5dee\u5f02\u663e\u8457\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u8fd9\u4e00\u8d8b\u52bf\u5c06\u6301\u7eed\u5230 2025 \u5e74\u3002\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u7684 GDP \u589e\u957f\u6392\u884c\u699c\u4e0a\uff0c\u5723\u4f55\u585e\u3001\u5965\u5170\u591a\u3001\u897f\u96c5\u56fe\u548c\u65e7\u91d1\u5c71\u540d\u5217\u524d\u8305\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u4e9a\u592a\u5730\u533a\u65b0\u5174\u57ce\u5e02\u7684 GDP 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1.7%\uff0c\u589e\u957f\u6e29\u548c\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u6d4b 2025 \u5e74\u7684\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5c06\u7565\u6709\u63d0\u9ad8\uff0c\u8fbe\u5230 1.8%\uff0c\u4f46\u603b\u4f53\u524d\u666f\u4f9d\u7136\u9eef\u6de1\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u57ce\u5e02\u4ecd\u5c06\u5b9e\u73b0\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u957f\uff1b\u4e2d\u6b27\u548c\u4e1c\u6b27\u57ce\u5e02\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u7684 2025 \u5e74\u6392\u540d\u4e2d\u4f4d\u5c45\u524d\u5217\uff0c\u534e\u6c99\u3001\u5e03\u62c9\u683c\u3001\u7d22\u975e\u4e9a\u548c\u5e03\u52a0\u52d2\u65af\u7279\u4f4d\u5217\u524d\u4e94\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9664\u4e86\u4e0d\u540c\u57ce\u5e02\u7684\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e86\u6d88\u8d39\u652f\u51fa\u548c\u5c31\u4e1a\u673a\u4f1a\u7684\u524d\u666f\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u4ece\u98d3\u98ce\u5230\u6ce2\u97f3\u7f62\u5de5\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u57ce\u5e02\u90fd\u80fd\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u6df7\u4e71\u4e2d\u5b89\u7136\u5ea6\u8fc7\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u76d0\u6e56\u57ce\u3001\u5965\u65af\u6c40\u3001\u5723\u5b89\u4e1c\u5c3c\u5965\u3001\u91cc\u5f17\u8d5b\u5fb7\u548c\u8fbe\u62c9\u65af\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u589e\u957f\u6700\u4e3a\u5f3a\u52b2\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u4e9a\u592a\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u95ee\u9898\u6b63\u5728\u51f8\u663e\uff0c\u540d\u53e4\u5c4b\u5e02\u3001\u91dc\u5c71\u548c\u9996\u5c14\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u7387\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u6ede\u540e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u57ce\u5e02\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u652f\u51fa\u589e\u957f\u6f5c\u529b\u5de8\u5927\u3002\u7279\u522b\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u57ce\u5e02\uff0c\u5728\u989d\u5916\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u523a\u6fc0\u653f\u7b56\u652f\u6301\u4e0b\uff0c\u5e94\u8be5\u4f1a\u6709\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u800c\u6b27\u6d32\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u9884\u8ba1\u4f1a\u968f\u7740\u5bf92020-23\u5e74\u5229\u7387\u9ad8\u4e8e\u6b63\u5e38\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u51cf\u5f31\u800c\u53d8\u5f97\u4e0d\u90a3\u4e48\u8c28\u614e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e0b\u8f7d\u62a5\u544a\u5168\u6587\u89e3\u9501\u66f4\u591a\u6df1\u5165\u5206\u6790\u3002<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n<hr class=\"km-hr uk-margin-top uk-margin-bottom\">\n\n\n<div class=\"gb-container gb-container-81340f14\">\n\n<h5 class=\"gb-headline gb-headline-83701788 gb-headline-text oe-text-500\">\u60a8\u53ef\u80fd\u8fd8\u4f1a\u5bf9\u4ee5\u4e0b\u5185\u5bb9\u611f\u5174\u8da3<\/h5>\n\n\n<p>No posts found.<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n<hr class=\"km-hr uk-margin-top uk-margin-bottom\">\n\n\n<div class=\"gb-container gb-container-b6ea9012\">\n\n<div class=\"gb-headline gb-headline-1e3e3d06 gb-headline-text\"><strong>Tags: <\/strong><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n<div class=\"gb-grid-column gb-grid-column-cc130554\"><div class=\"gb-container gb-container-cc130554\">\n<div class=\"gb-container gb-container-525cfbc5 oe-tile oe-tile-muted oe-border-rounded oe-border-outline\" id=\"km-sign-up\">\n\n<h3 class=\"gb-headline gb-headline-918a3007 gb-headline-text oe-text-500 oe-text-uppercase oe-text-secondary oe-text-medium\">\u586b\u5199\u4e0b\u65b9\u8868\u683c\u4e0b\u8f7d\u62a5\u544a<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/info.oxfordeconomics.com\/l\/1022713\/2024-02-07\/wdx2\" width=\"100%\" height=\"1500\" type=\"text\/html\" frameborder=\"0\" allowTransparency=\"true\" style=\"border: 0\"><\/iframe>\n<script>\n   (() => {\n   let pardotFormData = {\n   latestDownload: \"City Key Themes 2025\",\n   latestDownloadUrl: \"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/2024.12_Global_Navigating-city-growth-in-2025.pdf\",\n   campaignId: \"701Px000006FxYzIAK\",\n   }\n   let pardotIframeSrc = \"https:\/\/info.oxfordeconomics.com\/l\/1022713\/2024-02-07\/wdx2\";\n   let pardotIframe = document.querySelector('iframe[src^=\"' + pardotIframeSrc + '\"]');\n   window.addEventListener('message', function (e) {\n   if (pardotIframe.src.startsWith(e.data.formUrl)) {\n   pardotIframe.contentWindow.postMessage(pardotFormData, \"*\");\n   console.log('Custom form data 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