China and AI remain key themes amid rising uncertainty
We forecast Asia-Pacific industrial production to see a modest slowdown in 2026 but remain an outperformer at the global level. Amid subdued global trade activity, APAC industries will be supported by China’s deepening role in the regional supply chain as well as the region’s strength in AI hardware production.
Meanwhile, renewed risks are raising uncertainty. The replacement of US IEEPA tariffs with a global 15% tariff and the conflict in the Middle East will have different sectoral implications. We will be assessing and incorporating the latest tariff and geopolitical development in our upcoming March forecast round.
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